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Lesson 5 of 6

Evaluating a tuned model

6 min read

Your fine-tuned model aces every prompt in the demo. Ship it? Not yet — those were the prompts you trained on.

The demo is not the evidence

Fine-tuning can make a model brilliant on examples like its training data and quietly worse on everything else — that's overfitting. A cherry-picked demo hides it. The only honest test is a held-out eval set: real cases the model never saw in training, scored against what you actually care about.

Impressive on training-like prompts proves nothing. Judge a tuned model on held-out data, not on the examples it learned from.

Always compare to the baseline

Never evaluate a tuned model in isolation — compare it head-to-head with the model you started from. Sometimes fine-tuning helps your target task but degrades general ability; sometimes a good prompt on the base model would have matched it for free. Track a single metric you can regress against, and re-run it on every change so a silent regression can't sneak through.

The question isn't 'is the tuned model good?' It's 'is it better than the base model on the tasks I care about?' — measured on data it hasn't seen.

Watch for regressions on tasks you didn't tune for. Gaining your target behavior while losing general competence is a common and easy-to-miss failure.

The shape of it

Your tuned model nails the demo prompts. What's the honest next step before shipping?

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